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Expert picks and betting tips for the 2022 U.S. Open

June 15, 2022
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The 2022 U.S Open Championship returns to Brookline Country Club in Brookline, Massachusetts, for the first time since 1988, with a loaded area of 156 golfers vying for the prime 60 spots to advance. 2011 U.S. Open winner Rory McIlroy enters the weekend as the favourite after successful the RBC Canadian Open final weekend. McIlroy should beat out a troublesome area together with defending champion Jon Rahm, PGA Championship winner Justin Thomas and Masters winner Scottie Scheffler.

Where is the betting worth? Will the favorites prevail? Our golf and betting specialists break down the area for the third main of the yr.

Jump to a bit:
Experts’ picks to win | Betting value picks to win | Notable golfers odds | Props and more


Expert picks

Rory McIlroy gained the U.S. Open in 2011 and is the odds-on favourite to win once more this yr. Photo by Warren Little/Getty Images

Matt Barrie, ESPN
Winner:
Rory McIlroy

2 Related

Charlotte Gibson, ESPN.com
Winner: Will Zalatoris

Andy North, ESPN
Winner: Justin Thomas

Make your picks and compete for an opportunity to win $5,000! Make Your Picks

Mark Schlabach, ESPN.com
Winner:
Shane Lowry

Marty Smith, ESPN
Winner:
Tony Finau

Curtis Strange, ESPN
Winner:
Cameron Smith

Wright Thompson, ESPN.com
Winner:
Dustin Johnson

Paolo Uggetti, ESPN.com
Winner:
Rory McIlroy

Tom VanHaaren, ESPN.com
Winner:
Rory McIlroy

Scott Van Pelt, ESPN
Winner:
Will Zalatoris

Kevin Van Valkenburg, ESPN.com
Winner:
Will Zalatoris

Josh Weinfuss, ESPN.com
Winner:
Scottie Scheffler


Betting worth picks to win

Our betting specialists offer you picks to win based mostly on worth. We have a look at the betting board and let you know who has the finest likelihood to money your ticket.

Xander Schauffele will look to win his first main at the 2022 U.S. Open after ending in the prime 10 in every of his previous 5 appearances at the occasion. Photo by Andrew Redington/Getty Images

Michael Collins, ESPN senior golf analyst
Winner: Sam Burns (25-1)

Why he’ll win: Burns has three wins already this season and is scorching coming off his previous three begins. At 25-1, he has loads of worth in a stacked area.

Anita Marks, ESPN betting analyst
Winner: Sungjae Im (40-1)

Why he’ll win: Im performs nicely on the massive stage (T-2 and T-8 at the Masters, T-17 at the PGA Championship). He checks a lot of the packing containers when the metrics wanted to win at Brookline, rating twenty ninth in driving accuracy, seventh in greens in regulation and third in scrambling this season.

David Bearman, sports activities betting deputy editor, ESPN.com
Winner: Justin Thomas (11-1)

Why he’ll win: Thomas turned in one other unbelievable efficiency final week in Canada with a 63-64 weekend to nearly chase down Rory McIlroy. He is third on tour tee-to-green and pictures gained general, sixth on strategy and 14th off the tee. Thomas is arguably the hottest golfer on tour proper now and lastly bought previous the “second major” drought final month. No. 3 needs to be in the playing cards this weekend.

Chris Fallica, ESPN betting analyst
Winner:
Dustin Johnson (40-1)

Why he’ll win: Johnson is a previous U.S. Open champion and has loved a stretch of 5 top-six finishes in seven years. This course will mandate lengthy, correct play off the tee, and that is proper up DJ’s alley. He hasn’t had the better of years, however at this value, he is completely price a play.

Michael Collins is again for an all-new season of America’s Caddie. He’ll take you inside the world of golf with unique appears at a few of the prime programs, characteristic tales, movie star visitors and interviews with the greatest stars in golf. Stream on ESPN+

Tyler Fulghum, ESPN betting analyst
Winner: Xander Schauffele (22-1)

Why he’ll win: Schauffele has by no means gained a significant however has all the time been in competition at the U.S. Open. He’s performed the occasion 5 instances in his profession and has a T-5, T-6, T-3, 5 and T-7. Schauffele all the time appears to play his finest when the circumstances are most treacherous and the area is the deepest. It’s time for the X-Man to breakthrough together with his first main win.

Joe Fortenbaugh, ESPN betting analyst
Winner: Shane Lowry (35-1)

Why he’ll win: Lowry simply produced a T-10 in Canada to go together with his T-3 finishes at each the Masters and RBC Heritage and outright second-place consequence at the Honda Classic. He presently ranks ninth on tour in strokes gained: strategy the inexperienced, which is integral at a observe like Brookline with postage stamp greens.


Odds of successful the 2022 U.S. Open

Notable Golfer Odds at Caesars Sportsbook

Golfer Win T-10 end
Rory McIlroy 10-1 +130
Justin Thomas 11-1 +140
Scottie Scheffler 12-1 +150
Jon Rahm 14-1 +165
Cameron Smith 18-1 +200
Jordan Spieth 22-1 +225
Xander Schauffele 22-1 +225
Collin Morikawa 25-1 +225
Will Zalatoris 25-1 +250
Patrick Cantlay 25-1 +250
Brooks Koepka 35-1 +450
Dustin Johnson 40-1 +400
Bryson DeChambeau 80-1 +800
Patrick Reed 80-1 +700
Phil Mickelson 200-1 +1200

Props and extra

Our betting specialists have extra than simply bets to win. Here are some props to focus on for the whole occasion, from prime 10s to made cuts to match matchups.

Dustin Johnson top-10 end (+400)
Bearman: This choose is not about the LIV Tour, however about getting 4-1 top-10 worth on a former No. 1 participant in the world, who has a powerful résumé of enjoying nicely on Northeast programs. He has six prime 10s at the U.S. Open, together with a win in 2016. He hasn’t been nice this yr in any respect, but when he brings his A-game and golfs with a chip on his shoulder, this might money in addition to the 40-1 payout to win.

Collin Morikawa top-10 end (+175)
Bearman: I’ll be enjoying Morikawa to win and top-10 as he’s arguably the tour’s premier ball-striker and this course calls for that sort of sport. His battle has all the time been the putter, however Morikawa figured it out at the two earlier majors. This course is tailored for a man fifth on strategy and twentieth off the tee, and a 3rd leg of grand slam shouldn’t be out of the query.

2 Related

Bryson DeChambeau top-5 end (+800)
Collins: DeChambeau is wholesome and surprisingly beneath the radar this week. This is a literal “bang for the buck” guess. He’s going to attempt to do what he did at Winged Foot to win that U.S. Open.

Playoff to Decide the Winner (+310)
Collins: Media members hate listening to the phrase playoff in golf, however this week has all the potential for a three- to four-man playoff. A whole lot of guys seem like their video games are peaking proper now.

Xander Schauffele top-10 end (+225)
Fallica: While Schauffele hasn’t damaged by way of for a significant championship win, he is excelled on U.S. Open programs. He has posted 5 Top 10s in every of his 5 appearances, with three top-fives. Schauffele ranks seventh in strokes gained: tee-to-green and ninth in strokes gained: complete. That well-rounded sport ought to yield one other robust weekend at the U.S Open.

Viktor Hovland to overlook minimize (+225)
Fallica:
Hovland would not have a Top 20 in a stroke play occasion since March and has by no means completed in the Top 10 in a significant. He’s additionally horrible round the inexperienced — 204th in strokes gained round the inexperienced — and given the small measurement of those greens, that might spell hassle for him this weekend.

Max Homa top-20 end (+160)
Marks: Homa’s first two tour wins have been each on main championship high quality programs. He T5 at the Memorial — the place he solely wanted 99 putts that week, and T-13 at the PGA Championships final month.

Adri Arnaus top-40 end (2-1)
Marks:
Arnaus has the distance to compete this week. He has dominated the DP World Tour, completed T-30 at the PGA Championship, and is the second-best participant from Spain, behind Jon Rahm.



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